BBHof Tracker has an estimated 25.1% of the votes. So, at the quarter mark:
In:
Bagwell (92.7%)
Raines (91.7%)
Rodriguez (84.4%)
Guerrero (76.1%)
Just missed (within 5%):
Hoffman (74.1%)
Bonds (70.6%)
Clemens (70.6%)
Notables:
Edgar Martinez (67%, +18 votes)
Mike Mussina (59.6%, +8 votes)
Curt Schilling (52.3%, -9 votes)
Manny Ramirez (33.0%, first ballot)
Lee Smith (30.3%, +1 vote, final ballot)
Larry Walker (22.9%, +9 votes)
So it looks like the anti-PED debate is starting to fade, with Bonds and Clemens receiving huge jumps and even Manny Ramirez getting a third of the vote so far. Raines is seeing a huge run in his last chance, with 18 new votes. Edgar Martinez is also seeing the same bump, presumably with all of the Ortiz Hall of Fame talk this season and the reminder that there is already a legendary DH on the ballot. Interestingly, Larry Walker is getting a pretty big bump too. He's likely seeing a similar argument as Martinez, with Guerrero on the ballot and people being reminded of how similar the two of them were and just how good Walker was even before Colorado.
I'm curious to see just how many ballots are received this year. Thibodoux ended up with 70+% of the ballots in 2016, and it's been jumping by 10% or so every year. Next year, as mentioned, all ballots will be made public, but I assume that will happen when the results are announced, so it will be curious to see going forward how many reporters decide to make their ballots public early when they know they will be revealed at the end.