We all know AJ is a guy who will likely regress quickly once out of his prime. He doesn't have an eye. He's already an average to below average OF. It's DD job to make these type of decisions Now, I agree it's unlikely to happen but if the right TOR starter is on the market and the team would be interested in AJ as the centerpiece of a swap we should most likely be all over it.
Well, that is discussing the merits of why it could make sense... but the reason you agree it's unlikely to happen, is because 1) It would be not be looked at favorably within the clubhouse, 2) Jones received a no-trade clause and was adamant about that being part of the deal.
Maybe a few years from now, the subject can be broached.. depending on where the O's are, and if Jones is now open to being moved.... but in the immediate 2-3 years, he's not going anywhere.
Less of a % chance than what you've given the O's in their ability to trade for Lee.