IMO, every game you play, there is a range of outcomes.
You don't get to play games 100x, but that's how I look at games.
10/24 @ Northwestern NW will be favored... and imo 60-65% of the time, NW probably wins. If you have a 35-40% chance at winning, that's more than a punchers chance.
10/31 Minnesota At home, MD might still be a dog.. but Minnesota should be favored no more than 55-60%. So, I'd expect MD to win 40-45% of the time at home.
11/7 @ Penn State In '20, PSU probably wins this game 95 times or more?
11/14 Ohio State Same thing, OSU wins this game 95x or more. (Of course just 2 years ago, you had a chance.)
11/21 Michigan State I think this is close to a pick'em. MD maybe slightly favored at home.
11/28 @ Indiana Indiana favored... maybe 55%.
12/5 @ Michigan Michigan should win, especially at home. But I'm thinking more 75-80% vs. 95% and above. It would be an unexpected upset, but not completely unfathomable to me.
12/12 Rutgers Maryland at home should win this game, 75-80% of the time. Rutgers with the possibility of playing up, and MD certainly with the ability to play down.
Losing at NW could have been acceptable. Getting destroyed and looking that inept was disappointing.
Also changes my % odds.
10/31 Minnesota Minnesota 90%+
11/7 @ Penn State PSU 99.9%.
11/14 Ohio State OSU 99.9%.
11/21 Michigan State Still a pick'em. Probably MD's current best chance at a win.
11/28 @ Indiana Indiana 85%. Maybe that undersells the Hoosiers and oversells MD.
12/5 @ Michigan Michigan 95%
12/12 Rutgers Maybe slightly MD. Maybe not.