They won't do it but this is the year that you go out and spend all of your international bonus pool allotment.
According to Baseball America, 11 teams cannot sign pool-eligible players for more than $300,000 this year.
The Diamondbacks, Red Sox, Rays, Yankees and Angels are serving their 2nd year of their penalty.
The Cubs, Reds, Giants, Royals and Dodgers cannot sign anyone for over $300,000 for this signing period (2016) and the next (2017). The Blue Jays cannot sign anyone over $300K for 2016.
That leaves 19 teams that can either: A- Use all of their pool money (O's unlikely) B- Use a portion of their pool money (O's likely) or C- Blow through their pool allotment and face a penalty for 2 season (O's incredibly unlikely).
AFAIK, the 2016 international bonus pools have not yet been released but they should soon. The Phillies are in a position to have the top bonus pool for 2016. According to BA reports, the Braves, Cardinals and Nationals are expected to blow past their pools (which includes signing young Cubans under 23 years old). The Rangers, Twins and Astros could also do the same.
Frankly, this year or the next year is when the Orioles should just make a huge push and go up and over their international pool (and pay the tax) when the market and available teams to sign is low. There's a big opportunity for them but unfortunately, given their history, they won't.