1236 replies to this topic

[BSLSteveBirrer]

Down to the last week and I think the schedule favors the O's.

 

We have Red Sox and Blue Jays both fighting for a playoff spot.

 

DBacks have SF and Colorado. SF fighting for first but Colorado has nothing to play for.

[Greg Pappas]

Down to the last week and I think the schedule favors the O's.

 

We have Red Sox and Blue Jays both fighting for a playoff spot.

 

DBacks have SF and Colorado. SF fighting for first but Colorado has nothing to play for.

 

Updated after Thursday's (9/23) games:

1 Baltimore 49-104

2 Arizona 49-104     

 

The O's would win a tie breaker over the D'Backs, thus are a half game "ahead" at the moment, with 9 to play.

 

 

Naturally we just have to match the D'backs' record in these remaining nine games to get the #1 pick, yet were I a betting man, I believe the D'backs have the tougher schedule. Winning % in parentheses.

Arizona: 3xDodgers, 3xGiants, 3xRockies 
Baltimore: 3xRangers, 3xRed Sox, 3xBlue Jays

The Dodgers (.641) and Giants (.647) are the two best teams in baseball and fighting one another for the division title, whereas the Rockies (.467) are much improved. 

The O's on the other hand are facing the Rangers (.359) who are the third worst team in baseball, and the Red Sox (.575) and Jays (.556) are solid teams fighting for playoff spots. 


 

[Greg Pappas]

Updated after Sunday's (9/26) games:

1 Baltimore 50-106

2 Arizona 50-106     

 

The O's would win a tie breaker over the D'Backs, thus are a half game "ahead" at the moment, with 6 to play. One caveat: the new CBA could potentially change some draft matters, but odds are the order determination will stay as is.

Remaining Schedule:
Arizona: 3xGiants, 3xRockies 
Baltimore: 3xRed Sox, 3xBlue Jays

[BobPhelan]

I like our chances.

[Mackus]

The race I'm most concerned about is how badly does Chris want the Orioles to win 2 more games???

[BSLSteveBirrer]

At this point winning any more games is really a negative. I get the not rooting for your team to lose under most any circumstances. But I think this is one of those circumstances.

 

Nothing they do the rest of this week will mean anything going forward except what draft pick they end up with.

[Mike B]

Updated after Sunday's (9/26) games:

1 Baltimore 50-106

2 Arizona 50-106     

 

The O's would win a tie breaker over the D'Backs, thus are a half game "ahead" at the moment, with 6 to play. One caveat: the new CBA could potentially change some draft matters, but odds are the order determination will stay as is.

Remaining Schedule:
Arizona: 3xGiants, 3xRockies 
Baltimore: 3xRed Sox, 3xBlue Jays

Who knew the Rockies, were  going to get to decide who is the most embarrassing team in baseball.

[Mike B]

I like our chances.

Yea, I think we got this thing.

 

One of Boston or Toronto are likely going home if they lose to the Orioles.

 

The Jays play NYY and then us.  Beat the Yankees 2 of 3 and take the gift that is the Baltimore Orioles and they likely get a WC,

[You Play to Win the Game]

I do like that any win at this point would be brutal for either Boston or Toronto. That's nice. And if they don't win, they get the #1 pick fa sho. So it's not a bad racket.

[Mackus]

I'd love to have the time go back and look at the years where there is a clear #1 by draft day, if that guy ends up being much better on average than the average of all the #1 picks overall.

 

So for example, Henry Davis wouldn't count but Torkleson and Rutschman would.  

 

Probably would be pretty damn hard to find all the talk leading up to each year's draft to know if there really was a consensus #1 or not.  Would be a lot easier for recent drafts.

[Nigel Tufnel]

Do we know for sure that the O's have the tiebreaker?  I thought the tiebreaker was last year's record, and the O's and D'backs were both 25-35 in 2020.

[Mackus]

Do we know for sure that the O's have the tiebreaker?  I thought the tiebreaker was last year's record, and the O's and D'backs were both 25-35 in 2020.

 

Orioles drafted ahead of the Diamondbacks this year, so yes, the O's "win" the tiebreaker and would draft first should the two teams finish with the same record.

[BobPhelan]

Do we know for sure that the O's have the tiebreaker? I thought the tiebreaker was last year's record, and the O's and D'backs were both 25-35 in 2020.

Yeah it goes back to 2019 record.

[Greg Pappas]

Here's the recent Mock Draft done by Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo... https://www.mlb.com/...2022-mock-draft

[Mike B]

Here's the recent Mock Draft done by Jim Callis and Jonathan Mayo... https://www.mlb.com/...2022-mock-draft

Good stuff.  It will change a hundred times between now and then.  

 

Interesting that they have Green down to the 5 spot.

[Greg Pappas]

Different analysts have different views. But, your right, it usually changes quite a bit by the time the draft rolls around.

[Greg Pappas]

Good stuff.  It will change a hundred times between now and then.  

 

Interesting that they have Green down to the 5 spot.

 

Meant to quote you Mike B.

[Greg Pappas]

I'd LOVE to see 2 or 3 PRIME choices at the top, though we might just punt, take the 10th best player and hope the players we choose with the savings work out.   

I'm throwing a bit of shade Elias' way on his draft strategy, but time will tell whether it works out. I hope he nails it, but am skeptical. I will say though, that Coby Mayo is a fine endorsement of that vision

[BobPhelan]

I still think Carter Baumler will prove to be a great pick too.

But you can’t just rely on doing that every time. If there is an Adley Rutschman type available you have to take them.

[Greg Pappas]

I still think Carter Baumler will prove to be a great pick too.

But you can’t just rely on doing that every time. If there is an Adley Rutschman type available you have to take them.

 

Exactly.