Nolan Jones was supposed to go in the mid first round of the draft. He slipped to 55. Once he slipped past #20, he was a good value ACCORDING to MLB (had Jones at #20) and Baseball America (had Jones at #19). Jones was ultimately taken at #55. So, anyone claiming the Orioles undervalued Jones or missed out on Jones has to acknowledge that a LOT of teams also did the same thing. Why did Jones slide? Price tag? Overrated by those two publications? I don't know but it wasn't just the Orioles who passed on Jones.
I also have a problem with Dude when he's got things mapped out like we could have taken Jones at #54 and then gotten Akin at #69 as if he knows the draft boards of all the other 29 teams. The Orioles supposedly over drafted Sisco a few years ago. Dude just assumes these players are rated the same by all 30 ML teams as they are by BA and MLB.com. It's obvious that it isn't the case.
I do think Gary Rasjich has drafted well with D.J. Stewart looking like one black eye. His first draft was so so but he did make a good choice with Gausman and Josh Hader as a late round pick. The rest looks pretty meh with Christian Walker, Branden Kline, and Adrian Marin. Not so good.
However his next draft looks like a healthy Hunter Harvey away from being a big hit. Harvey was a great choice based on talent.
Sisco, Heim, and Murphy are all good looking catching prospects at this time, especially Sisco and Heim. Mancini and Yaz look like future ML contributors to differing degrees. Tarpley and Brault for used to get Travis Snider. That's not Rajisch's fault. There are still a number of other players (Donnie Hart, Seabrooke, Austin Wynns, Josh Hart) who may make a ML contribution.
In 2014, Rajisch had two hands tied behind his back with no pick until the 3rd round. Brian Gonzalez is making that pick look pretty good this year as a 20 year old LHP at Delmarva. Connaughton will eventually play baseball and we'll see what we got. David Hess is a legit prospect although he probably winds up in the bullpen. Tanner Scott is a great arm who has a chance to be a closer or setup LHP. John Means and Matt Grimes were nice late round pitching picks. I'm not saying he made the most of a bad situation but he did pretty good with what he had to work with.
In 2015, D.J. Stewart is looking like a big miss in the 1st round. That's on Rajisch as I said. However, Mountcaste, another OVERDRAFT according to many is looking like a great pick. With so many HS picks it's way to early to see what else we got here as most of our picks aren't even playing yet this year.
Overall, I think Rajisch has done well. As always, he'll be judged in hindsight, down the road, when we have an even better idea.
I do agree with SportsGuys reasoning but I disagree with his conclusion about the Orioles having tunnel vision going for college pitchers. Yes, it looks like they targeted college pitcher first and foremost at the top of the draft. No, I don't believe they passed on a hitter who they had much higher on their board to get any of those pitchers. Did they possibly pass on BPA on their board to go for the pitcher? Quite possible. Did they pass on someone who they considered a significantly better talent to do so. I doubt it.