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2024 Game 35: 5/7 @ Washington 6:45PM


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#61 Mackus

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:03 PM

Rutschman can't throw for shit!

 

Again, this take not reflected by reality.  He was at 26.3% coming into today, which placed him 15th out of the 32 guys who've caught at least 140 games (looking for guys who play close to half the games or more, and not just backups who play once a week).  That group as a whole catches 24% of runners. 0 for 4 tonight will drop him to 21.7%, which falls to 20th of 32 (only updating Adley's numbers, don't know how the rest of the group fared tonight).

 

Its about as good of a take as saying Gunnar can't hit for shit because he's 0-for-4 tonight (and on about a 10-day cold streak).


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#62 CantonJester

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:04 PM

Good for O'Hearn. that pitch was two inches off the plate. 



#63 BSLSteveBirrer

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:05 PM

Great Hyde finally comes out and bitches. Too bad the games already over.

#64 russsnyder

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:05 PM

Yeah, that was an awful call.
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#65 russsnyder

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:06 PM

Lot of quiet innings from the Orioles.

I counted nine.
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#66 russsnyder

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:07 PM

As an aside, I kinda like the Nats city connect jerseys.
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#67 You Play to Win the Game

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:08 PM

Good for ROH. Sick of these trash umps. Can’t wait for the robots.

#68 Mackus

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:14 PM

I know Adleys stats on throwing guys out. But I'd like to see just who is running on him and who he is throwing out. Might be more guys who wouldn't normally run are trying on him. Cause stats aside he's just not good at throwing.

 

Do they track pop times and average throw velocity for catchers anywhere publicly?  That'd be interesting to see, but think what rate you catch runners is ultimately more meaningful.  Pop times and arm strength would go a ways towards isolating the catcher's role from the pitcher's.  McCann's rate is also right around league average, but teams run a lot less on him.  But I'm not sure "they run more often on him" is really a knock if he's catching guys at a rate that is above the break-even point for base-stealers.  I don't consider 75% to be a good rate for runners, you're taking more runs off the board than you're adding around there.  Though we would need to look at actual runs scored in the various permutations to calculate exactly what that break-even point is.  I usually think of it as 80%, but not sure how accurate that is.  He's now at 21%, or 79% successful, which I'd guess is still a tick below break even., meaning Adley is saving more runs that giving up on the aggregate.

 

Before tonight he was a little worse than league average in attempt rate, but that'll shift to a more than a little after 4 in 8 innings.  He was at about 0.95 attempts per 9 innings coming into tonight, will go up to about 1.10, league average is 0.97 per 9.  So from 2% more attempts to 13% more attempts.  



#69 dude

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:14 PM

Ugly.

 

Feels like they went to the beach yesterday, on the day off, and got home at 6am.

 

Earn tomorrow. 



#70 Chris B

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:16 PM

Ban the City Connects
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#71 Mackus

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:18 PM

Burnes with zero runs of support in two straight starts.  2 runs in the last 3.  Not a good way to treat your ace.

 

3 earned runs, matching his season high, has skyrocketed his ERA to 2.83.  


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#72 Mackus

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:21 PM

I hope and expect that we win tomorrow, but if we happen to lose I won't miss the "no sweep" streak at all.  If it's gotta go, glad it'll only cost us two games and not three or four.



#73 You Play to Win the Game

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:35 PM


I hope and expect that we win tomorrow, but if we happen to lose I won't miss the "no sweep" streak at all. If it's gotta go, glad it'll only cost us two games and not three or four.

Lol. You’re a quirky every once in a blue, Mack. This is a weird one to… I don’t want to say, bother you, but you’ve mentioned it a couple times now. But I think I get what you’re saying. Just kind of funny.

#74 BobPhelan

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:37 PM

3 earned runs, matching his season high, has skyrocketed his ERA to 2.83.


Oof, huge disappointment.
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#75 fishteacher

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:37 PM

Again, this take not reflected by reality.  He was at 26.3% coming into today, which placed him 15th out of the 32 guys who've caught at least 140 games (looking for guys who play close to half the games or more, and not just backups who play once a week).  That group as a whole catches 24% of runners. 0 for 4 tonight will drop him to 21.7%, which falls to 20th of 32 (only updating Adley's numbers, don't know how the rest of the group fared tonight).

 

Its about as good of a take as saying Gunnar can't hit for shit because he's 0-for-4 tonight (and on about a 10-day cold streak).

Thanks for talking me off a terrible hot take.  LOL!  


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#76 russsnyder

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:39 PM

Oof, huge disappointment.


The Brewers fleeced the Orioles in this trade.
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#77 85Knight

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:40 PM

I hope and expect that we win tomorrow, but if we happen to lose I won't miss the "no sweep" streak at all. If it's gotta go, glad it'll only cost us two games and not three or four.


The streak doesn't bother me that much. In fact I like it. This is the same mentality as the Ravens preseason win streak. I don't get the angst.

#78 Mackus

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:40 PM

Lol. You’re a quirky every once in a blue, Mack. This is a weird one to… I don’t want to say, bother you, but you’ve mentioned it a couple times now. But I think I get what you’re saying. Just kind of funny.

It reminds me of Roger Clemens "no loss" streak back in the 90s or whenever. He, and the team, didn't always win. But he didn't get tagged with the L.

I'm also saltier about it because they did get swept in the most important series by far during this streak. Every time they mention it, I'm reminded of that disappointment.
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#79 BaltBird 24

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:42 PM

I don't think they're counting 2 game series in the "streak."

#80 Slidemaster

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Posted 07 May 2024 - 08:57 PM

The Brewers fleeced the Orioles in this trade.

It is genuinely wild to me how people can't admit that Burnes is not a dominant guy anymore and is more of a good #2 than an Ace, without resorting to this nonsense that nobody has said. Just because something isn't a 10 doesn't mean it's a 1.

Nobody said he was bad. But he's 67th in the league in WAR for pitchers.




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