KC is the nightmare playoff matchup, particularly if it’s at Arrowhead. Their D will shut us down, and Mahomes will likely be able to do enough.
I actually think Miami is the nightmare match up.
KC has a far superior defense to Miami. But their offense doesn't strike fear anymore. As good as Mahomes is, they lack that quick strike ability they had in the past. I agree it would be a tough match up. But I have more faith in our offense getting hot and catching KC's defense off-guard vs the opposite.
Miami on the other hand. That offense can put up 21+ in a hurry. If our offense gives the ball up, it's more likely they make you pay. No matter how good your defense is, Tyreek Hill, Waddle, Mostert or Achane can still beat you. One mistake and they got 6.
I think Miami is more volatile. Whereas KC is a lot more consistent. I agree with both of you that KC would certainly be a lower scoring affair, similar to last night. And any close game is scary when Mahomes is on the other side.
End of the day, if Monken can read a game, and stick to a running game when it's dominating, this team can make a lot of noise. Position for position, on paper, not many teams can match up with the Ravens.