1) His mechanics have already come a long way. The word revert is a perfect description but I think you're going too far in thinking he loses them for an entire game. From my perspective he drops his elbow mostly on throws when the play is off schedule. Not all the time but mostly.
2) It takes a while to change how you've been throwing for 15+ years and occasionally you will revert. The more muscle memory the better it should get over time is what I'm saying. It was obvious last game that the muscle memory isn't there yet. He went from sailing balls to throwing them downhill.
3) I also think you're sleeping on his touch and natural accuracy. He throws a few headscratchers and a few beauties every game generally speaking.
4) As far as an extension goes, I wanted to ask if you thought the Watson extension was a "stupid" move? He has his issues too and been beat up a lot in the pocket. Will paying him $35/year look bad in a few years when someone breaks the bank at $45-50/year? And if you wouldn't have extended him, are there any other young QB who's worth an early extension besides Mahomes?
1) Ok ..... But, It happens too many times per game and the good defenses take advantage of it
2) I think you right about the 15 years, but I believe he will always do it. I think he could modestly improve but I don’t think he will ever be the guy we saw last year. Defenses hadn’t caught up yet with schemes, the smaller more athletic defender heavy schemes, and figuring what the weaknesses are. As I said, daring the Ravens to beat them outside down the field.
3) we seriously disagree here! I think Lamar seriously lacks on touch and I think he’s naturally inaccurate. You can point at QBs that throw a deep ball that allows the receiver to run under the ball and have it drop right into his hands. I think the lack of touch has hurt us a number of times with the wide open guys. He’s not good at making those throws outside and down the field and perhaps the touch is not there due to not having enough arm. I mentioned inaccurate passes a lot to have it questioned profusely here. But, I think there is a difference between hitting a receiver in stride that allows him YAC and to continue to run full speed after the catch. A pass thrown behind a receiver that he catches, caught by jumping into the air, with extended arms and a lunge, etc ... Still count as receptions but aren’t nearly as effective. I think Lamar throws a ton of these compared to Rodgers, Brady, Mahomes etc.
4) I wouldn’t give any QB 30+ million per year including Watson. Mahomes right now would be the only exception and I still think the Chiefs regret it sooner or later, I guess you live with the long term if you get a ring or 2 out of it. Right now I think the Chiefs have an excellent chance of winning another.
You’d have to believe that the QB is good enough to win with a diminished talent pool around him. Mahomes will have to prove that he can as he only counts around 10 million this year.
Year
Total cash
Base salary
Roster bonus
Workout bonus
2020
$10.825 million
$825,000
N/A
N/A
2021
$22.807 million
$990,000
$21.717 million
$100,000
2022
$29.45 million
$1.5 million
$27.4 million
$550,000
2023
$40.45 million
$5.5 million
$34.4 million
$550,000
2024
$37.95 million
$2.5 million
$34.9 million
$550,000
2025
$41.95 million
$2.5 million
$38.9 million
$550,000
2026
$41.95 million
$2.5 million
$38.9 million
$550,000
2027
$59.95 million
$10 million
$49.4 million
$550,000
2028
$44.45 million
$13 million
$30.9 million
$550,000
2029
$44.95 million
$20.5 million
$23.9 million
$550,000
2030
$50.45 million
$27 million
$22.9 million
$550,000
2031
$52.45 million
$38 million
$13.9 million
$550,000
We will know better in after seeing what the Chiefs have in 2023 and forward. And that’s if there is no serious injury that would completely blow them up.
I don’t think Watson is that type of guy , Brady really never had to be as he played on a discount, Brees played annually under $20 million per until a few years ago.
Honestly, and I know it’s not popular here. But, I run through the 5 years and a franchise year before moving on. I would take that strategy over one of these contracts that cripple your talent pool and force an all out rebuild if the player sustained a serious injury.
When Jackson’s wheels start to decline or if he’s injured the team holding a $30 plus per million cap number is doomed. People call him durable which is fine at 23 unless he blows out a knee (knees aren’t durable ...I know). A player whose passing skills are limited due to poor mechanics, not having enough arm to throw outside & deep, or whatever else will be in trouble as he ages. I hope that Ravens aren’t dumb enough to give him a 7+ year contract that costs +$30 million.
BTW, I was never for Flacco’s contract either. He was a solid QB when he was young but not Elite. His hot streak got us a ring and him a contract that wasn’t in line with his true worth. He obviously couldn’t carry the team once his contract caused us to move quality players.