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2017 Fantasy Football / Start or Sit


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#281 Mackus

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Posted 30 November 2017 - 02:45 PM

I can't imagine benching Brees at home for Bortles or Keenum.

 

I know it might make sense based on recent performance and opposition, but it's still Drew Brees.



#282 Mike in STL

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 05:42 PM

I'm up 120-70 with Antonio Brown left. He has Jimmy Graham left. Yahoo says other guy is a 1% chance to win. 1% chance that Graham outscores Brown by 51? Really Yahoo? Really?
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#283 bnickle

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Posted 03 December 2017 - 05:48 PM

I mean it's not zero and I'm assuming they're rounding up to the closest whole number

#284 Mackus

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 04:31 PM

I'm up 120-70 with Antonio Brown left. He has Jimmy Graham left. Yahoo says other guy is a 1% chance to win. 1% chance that Graham outscores Brown by 51? Really Yahoo? Really?

 

I'm trailing by 8 going into tonight with no players left.  My opponent has LeVeon Bell.  I have a 4% chance to win.


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#285 JordanKough

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 05:06 PM

I can't imagine benching Brees at home for Bortles or Keenum.

 

It didn't burn me and couldn't bring myself to bench Brees for Bortles either, but Bortles ended up torching the Colts. McKown 32.1, Bortles 25, Brees 14.5.

 

My big question for next week is Garapollo (@Hou), Bortles (vs SEA), or McKown (@Den). It's a 2 QB league and I was banking on Luck coming back, so I've got a dearth of middle tier QBs hogging up my roster. 

 

I feel like it's gotta be Garapollo, and I won't start Bortles against Seattle period. But McKown is on fire, and I'm wondering do you ride the hot hand (25 and 31 points the last two weeks). 



#286 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 05:10 PM

I need 22 from Antonio Brown to make the playoffs. CBS says I have a 1% chance lol.

How’s Cincy’s pass D?

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

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#287 Mackus

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 05:16 PM

PPR or standard?  Cincy gives up the 3rd fewest points to WR.  That's in my standard league, maybe PPR changes things a bit but still, they've played well in the secondary.  He went for 65 and a TD his last time vs Cincy.

 

Never impossible with Brown, though.  He's gone over that the past 2 weeks (144 yd 3 TD and 169 yd 2 TD).  3 other games with over 155 yards.



#288 JordanKough

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 05:17 PM

Is it PPR, if it was I'd say you have a chance. Depends on if Road Ben decides to rear his ugly head this week. But in non-PPR, I think you're better than 1%. 160 yards and a TD, Brown does that way more often than once every 100 games. 

 

He's done it 18% of the time this year! And he had 155 and a TD (almost) against KC. And 182 yards against Cleveland. And 157 against Jax. If it's PPR, he's done it 6 times this year, or more than 50%...though I'm assuming it's not. Good lord, he's had a great year. looking over his game log. 

 

In 2016, he had over 22 points twice. @Was and @Ind. And in PPR formats looks like he would have done it 5 times. 



#289 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 06:02 PM

We do 1/4 point per reception. 


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#290 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 04 December 2017 - 06:03 PM

Cmon  AB, gimme two TDs.

 

He scores twice and I think I win.

 

Two TDs and 100 yards.

 

Do it.  Do it.


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

@bopper33


#291 DuffMan

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 08:39 AM

Started the year 0-3.  In week 4 I had the 11th highest point total but still got a win.  Since then I've been much better finished 8-5 and am in the playoffs. 



#292 NewMarketSean

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 08:48 AM

Finished 7-6 and out of the playoffs.

 

The game that kept me out (guy I lost to had the head-to-head tie breaker) was the one where Chris Thompson fumbled a kick return. I got the -2 for that and lost by one point.

 

Yeah...that was my season in a nutshell.


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#293 Mike in STL

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 12:27 PM

Have the tandem of Brees and Michael Thomas. Also have Kirk Cousins and Nelson Agholor on my bench.

Cousins has pretty much been as good or better than Brees. I don't want to start Thomas and not Brees.

Riden my horses to a 9-4 record.

So do I start Brees/Thomas short week tonight @ ATL? Or get cute and go Cousins @LAC, Agholor @LAR Sunday?
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#294 NewMarketSean

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 01:14 PM

Brees & Thomas tonight.


I never had friends later on like the ones I had when I was twelve. Jesus, does anyone?

#295 JordanKough

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 01:28 PM

If Ingram doesn't play tonight, expect a HUGE game from Brees, too. You gotta start Brees in what might turn into a shoot out game. 



#296 Chris B

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 01:38 PM

I'll also be starting Brees and Thomas. Let's hit the over tonight.



#297 Mackus

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 02:12 PM

Do you think you are the favorite or the dog?

 

As an underdog I'd definitely go Brees/Thomas.  Potential for doubling up is a key for pulling off upsets, IMO.  If you think your squad is better and you'd like to diversify your risk, I think you can justify going for Cousins over Brees.  Can't justify Agholor over Thomas in any scenario.



#298 Hooded Viper

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 02:41 PM

I am ahead in points in my league and 1win from the top spot. This choice has plagued me a few times this season: Smith against Oakland’s D or Carr against KC’s D? I am kinda leaning towards Carr because Crabtree is back and should be targeted a lot. Although I also have Kelce!

#299 Mackus

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 03:04 PM

I'd definitely go Smith.


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#300 Biggsy

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Posted 07 December 2017 - 08:43 PM

So first week of playoffs, I have Russell Wilson, picked up Garappolo, but you still have to start Wilson, right?




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