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2024 Season: AFC Divisional Round @ Buffalo Jan. 19th 6:30PM


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#1 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:28 PM

The Ravens and Bills played in September, with the Ravens winning 35-10.

https://www.espn.com...83/bills-ravens

 

DVOA Rankings:

Baltimore – 1st overall, 1st rated offense, 6th rated defense, 23rd rated special teams

Buffalo – 4th overall, 2nd offense, 11th defense, 28th special teams

 

The Bills finished the year 13-4, and won the AFC East.

A popular narrative to prop up Allen’s MVP candidacy is that there isn’t a ton of surrounding offensive talent.
 

That seems odd to me as James Cook and Ray Davis is a strong duo at RB, and Amari Cooper, Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir, and Dalton Kincaid is a quality group of pass catchers.
Seems clear that Allen was more comfortable this year not having to look for Diggs on every possession.
 

Defensively the Bills recently got back LB Matt Milano. 
That certainly helps a run defense which has struggled this year.


Greg Rousseau, Ed Oliver, and AJ Epenesa are other quality defensive pieces.
In addition to Allen, the Bills sent OT Dion Dawkins to the Pro Bowl.

 

Buffalo was 8-0 at home in the regular season, and beat Denver today in the Wild Card. 

 

The Bills outscored their regular season opponents by 157 points (525-368).
The Ravens outscored their regular season opponents by 157 points (518-361).

 

In the regular season: 
 

The Ravens were 5-2 against the other AFC Playoff teams, with wins against everyone (Buffalo, Houston, LA, Pittsburgh, Denver) but Kansas City.

The Ravens were 2-1 against the NFC Playoff teams (wins vs. Tampa Bay, and Washington, a loss vs. Philadelphia).

Buffalo was 2-3 against other playoff teams. 

 

 

 

Buffalo opened as a 1 point favorite, the Ravens are currently (9:30AM, Monday Jan. 13th) a 1 point favorite. 

ESPN's Match-up Predictor gives both teams an equal 50% chance of winning.
 



#2 BaltBird 24

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:30 PM

If this ain't the primetime game for next week....

#3 Mackus

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:31 PM

Any chance Zay is back? I've been assuming not.

#4 Biggsy

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:32 PM

They can't consistently stop Derrick Henry. Let him go for 200 again. Defense needs to show up next weekend. High potential for a shootout.
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#5 Biggsy

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:33 PM

Any chance Zay is back? I've been assuming not.



I think it's more possible this week than last. But I'm personally not expecting him back. Would certainly be a nice boon to the offense if he could find his way back.

#6 hallas

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:36 PM

I guess we're sticking a fork in Denver even though the game isn't over :D

#7 mdrunning

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:44 PM

Buffalo's offensive line had been impressive today; they've really been knocking the Broncos off the ball. Outside of Von Miller, however, the Bills appear to be generating very little pressure on Bo Nix.



#8 BaltBird 24

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:45 PM

Can't believe Buffalo is still airing it out up 3 scores and under 6 to go. Allen taking some shots late.

#9 Biggsy

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:49 PM

Can't believe Buffalo is still airing it out up 3 scores and under 6 to go. Allen taking some shots late.


Doesn't he need one more passing TD to have the most ever in the wild card round ? Kind of a petty record to go for, while exposing your only chance at a title to hits.

#10 NewMarketSean

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 03:55 PM

Buffalos defense is suspect. Denver wasted opportunity today. They don’t look ready.


I never had friends later on like the ones I had when I was twelve. Jesus, does anyone?

#11 makoman

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 04:19 PM

Buffalos defense is suspect. Denver wasted opportunity today. They don’t look ready.

Pitt was 6th in yards and 5th in yards/att against the run. Buf is 12th and 19th. Let's get 299 again.



#12 BaltBird 24

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 04:22 PM

I wish we'd go super run heavy with Lamar, Henry, Hill, AND Mitchell. I know there's only so many carries to go around, and you want the ball in Lamar and Henry's hand most of the time, but I feel like Hill and especially Mitchell bring s different speed element. Just pound the Bills into submission.

#13 Mackus

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 04:25 PM

I don't think run heavy or pass heavy matters. Whichever team forces more punts (or turnovers) probably wins.

#14 makoman

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 04:28 PM

I don't think run heavy or pass heavy matters. Whichever team forces more punts (or turnovers) probably wins.

Overall I agree, but I think there's just something soul sucking to a defense running it 13 straight times and going all the way down the field. That was so satisfying.



#15 BaltBird 24

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 04:29 PM

It's shaping up to be an offensive shootout, so it'll likely be a low scoring defensive struggle.
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#16 85Knight

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 05:28 PM

Bills -1
Total 51.5

#17 Slidemaster

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 06:09 PM

I think the Ravens win this game.

#18 cprenegade

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 06:42 PM

Doesn't he need one more passing TD to have the most ever in the wild card round ? Kind of a petty record to go for, while exposing your only chance at a title to hits.

 

If that's what they were doing I agree totally.  Kind of like Harbaugh having Lamar run a keeper with 10 seconds left against Denver instead of just kneeling so they could keep the streak of 100 yard rushing games alive.  



#19 cprenegade

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 06:46 PM

Buffalo's run defense looked pretty good today, but overall I'm in agreement that I think if the Ravens are to win this game the way to do it is go run heavy with Henry and Lamar and keep the ball out of Josh Allen's hands.  



#20 Mackus

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Posted 12 January 2025 - 07:09 PM


Buffalo's run defense looked pretty good today, but overall I'm in agreement that I think if the Ravens are to win this game the way to do it is go run heavy with Henry and Lamar and keep the ball out of Josh Allen's hands.


Usually you try to shorten the game when you're an underdog. I don't think the Ravens need to do that. Score fast or score slow, doesn't matter. Just score.




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