Photo

Season Predictions


  • Please log in to reply
59 replies to this topic

#1 TwentyThirtyFive

TwentyThirtyFive

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 24,986 posts

Posted 24 March 2024 - 08:31 PM

ST is over. Time to do the thing.

 

 

 

Im going 90-72. Its fun to say thats a conservative prediction.



#2 TwentyThirtyFive

TwentyThirtyFive

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 24,986 posts

Posted 24 March 2024 - 08:32 PM

Also think Gunnar pushes hard for MVP. Whether he wins it who knows. Can be subjective. Lets say a top 3 finish

#3 Mackus

Mackus

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 61,414 posts

Posted 24 March 2024 - 08:42 PM

Over on both

#4 Slidemaster

Slidemaster

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 8,412 posts

Posted 24 March 2024 - 09:12 PM

96-66.

#5 Pedro Cerrano

Pedro Cerrano

    I Miss McNulty

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 35,858 posts
  • LocationEllicott City, MD

Posted 24 March 2024 - 11:02 PM

Won’t care until they show me they can win in the playoffs.

;-)
  • TwentyThirtyFive likes this

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

@bopper33


#6 ivanbalt

ivanbalt

    All Star

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 1,581 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 05:26 AM

95 wins



#7 BobPhelan

BobPhelan

    OTV

  • Moderators
  • 14,780 posts
  • LocationBel Air, MD

Posted 25 March 2024 - 05:37 AM

92-70

#8 russsnyder

russsnyder

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 7,492 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 06:27 AM

98-64
<p>"F IT!, Let's hit." Ted Williams

#9 makoman

makoman

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 4,533 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 07:24 AM

We are better than last year but that isn't always reflected in wins, especially without Felix. I'm thinking around 95-67.



#10 jamesdean

jamesdean

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,636 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 08:02 AM

I'll say 92-95 wins.  A lot has to go right to win 100 games but they'll be close.  Then again, they have to stay relatively healthy to pull that off. 



#11 BSLSteveBirrer

BSLSteveBirrer

    Soccer Analyst

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 11,955 posts
  • LocationMS and ID

Posted 25 March 2024 - 08:10 AM

Can we wait until mid May and see if Means and/or Bradish are going to be able to pitch?  

 

92-70

 

Fall Projection:

 

Second in ALE.

Win WC matchup.

Win ALDS

Win ALCS

Then we'll see.



#12 Mackus

Mackus

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 61,414 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 09:25 AM

94 wins, enough to win the division.



#13 NewMarketSean

NewMarketSean

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 23,868 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 09:31 AM

91-71


I never had friends later on like the ones I had when I was twelve. Jesus, does anyone?

#14 Slidemaster

Slidemaster

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 8,412 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 09:52 AM

I think some of y'all are being pretty conservative with your estimates. There's going to be some regression, but 10+ games worth with an objectively better lineup and adding a true ace?

#15 makoman

makoman

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 4,533 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 10:04 AM


I think some of y'all are being pretty conservative with your estimates. There's going to be some regression, but 10+ games worth with an objectively better lineup and adding a true ace?


I agree they are better. Pythagorean was 94 last year. If I recall correctly the hitting was especially timely and the bullpen was generally very good at protecting leads. I think either or both of those could be worse just due to randomness, and plus no Felix. Also adding an ace could be a wash if Bradish is out longer term or loses effectiveness. For me, teams just don’t win 105 games that often so expecting to have better results than last year is just asking to be disappointed, so I’ve tempered expectations. I wouldn’t really be shocked by 90 or over 100 wins. 80some would be surprising.

#16 NewMarketSean

NewMarketSean

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 23,868 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 10:12 AM

I think some of y'all are being pretty conservative with your estimates. There's going to be some regression, but 10+ games worth with an objectively better lineup and adding a true ace?

 

Burnes is somewhat mitigated by losing Bradish for who knows how long. BP is a question mark. I see a big variation for them: they could be good or they could be awful. Really depends on Kimbrel and Cano.

 

I agree, offense should be good. Probably about the same as last year.


I never had friends later on like the ones I had when I was twelve. Jesus, does anyone?

#17 BSLRoseKatz

BSLRoseKatz

    BSL Analyst

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,968 posts
  • LocationColumbia, MD

Posted 25 March 2024 - 10:40 AM

90-72 feels like a solid 50th percentile outcome 



#18 Slidemaster

Slidemaster

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 8,412 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 11:07 AM

I agree they are better. Pythagorean was 94 last year. If I recall correctly the hitting was especially timely and the bullpen was generally very good at protecting leads. I think either or both of those could be worse just due to randomness, and plus no Felix. Also adding an ace could be a wash if Bradish is out longer term or loses effectiveness. For me, teams just don’t win 105 games that often so expecting to have better results than last year is just asking to be disappointed, so I’ve tempered expectations. I wouldn’t really be shocked by 90 or over 100 wins. 80some would be surprising.


This is really a response to you and NMS, but it sounds like they're expecting Bradish back earlier than later. We'll certainly see, but even if he goes down for the year, it's fair to assume Burnes will be better than Bradish was last year, and that they'll get better contributions from Grayson as well.

I'm not saying they'll will 100+, but I think this is a better team overall than last year, and don't expect a massive regression.

#19 85Knight

85Knight

    MVP

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,461 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 11:09 AM

95-67

A better overall team but no Bautista. Winning over 90 games is a great season. Winning over 100 is mostly luck on top of being very good but that doesn't happen that often.

#20 BaltBird 24

BaltBird 24

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 22,864 posts

Posted 25 March 2024 - 11:57 AM

Don't think they'll win 100 again, but should be a very enjoyable season. I'll take the over 90.




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users


Our Sponsors


 width=