I know there's a few thoughts in mucked in with every thought in the other thread, but this certainly deserves it's own discussion.
What the Orioles do with Starting pitching certainly impacts the Closer and Bullpen roles (Tyler Wells is the real wild card everywhere), but this is the one area that everyone wants to see a significant add.
I think it's fair to project Means, GRod and Bradish as locked into the rotation pending something crazy or injury. Kremer should have the inside track on a spot depending on what else you do with SP. Wells becomes the wild card to add to this group.
That's 5. You aren't optioning any of those guys and while Wells could slide into a bullpen role, I don't see the other 4 being other than starters. You aren't putting Kremer in the bullpen, if you displace him as a SP, you trade him.
If you just line that up a little
SP1 New add
SP2 Means (ARB3)
SP3 GRod (TC1)
SP4 Bradish (TC2)
SP5 Kremer (TC3...borderline Super 2 at 2.112)
BP TWells (Super 2 at 2.132)
I think it's safe to suggest the Orioles aren't signing a significant FA. They've shown zero interest in playing in the FA market. I don't think that will always be the case, but until the ownership issue is resolved, I think it's safe to assume there won't be a significant 2024 commitment like that.
I think it's also fair to suggest they'll look at something bigger than the Lyles/Gibson stature (although credit to both of them for being solid in Baltimore).
I think the safe consensus is the Orioles leverage some unusable prospect capital to make a deal for a SP. The question always is who and for what. Outside of adding someone to bridge back to Bautista's health,
Most assessments of the offseason comes down to the "New add" at the top of the rotation.
The only other real issue is if they try and work an extension with John Means. You aren't getting an extension with GRod so drop that thought. Some have suggested Bradish, but I don't think you can extend him off his 2023 season (no reasonable overlap) and there's no one else to really consider at this point.