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BSL: Orioles Prospect ETAs: Pitchers, Pre-2021 Edition


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#1 BSLZachSpedden

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Posted 18 December 2020 - 02:48 PM

This story concludes a two-part series of articles looking at Orioles prospect ETAs, with a focus on pitchers. Position players were covered last week.

 

https://baltimorespo...e-2021-edition/


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#2 Mike B

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Posted 21 December 2020 - 11:54 AM

This story concludes a two-part series of articles looking at Orioles prospect ETAs, with a focus on pitchers. Position players were covered last week.

 

https://baltimorespo...e-2021-edition/

Good read.  We do have some interesting pitching prospects.  I was a little surtprised that you had the ETA for Rodriquez as 2023.  I thought we night see him next year.


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#3 dude

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Posted 21 December 2020 - 04:17 PM

This story concludes a two-part series of articles looking at Orioles prospect ETAs, with a focus on pitchers.

 

Zach, liked both of these pieces.

 

In general, I don't have much comment on your timelines.  I think they are generally reasonable associated with the players development. 

 

I was going to make some of these comments in the Players thread too, so they really apply to both.

 

1) Everyone doesn't fit.  Everyone knows this, but no-one actually suggests what we should do.  MLB rules don't allow for continued raw accumulation of players.  If a guy isn't any good, then I guess it doesn't matter...you can keep those guys in the minors off the 40.  ....but for anyone that we thinks matters, you have to play them somewhere and they they need extended opportunity....and then you still have to make choices off of imperfect data.  There will never be perfect data to make these decisions off of.

 

2) While I think most of the timelines are reasonable, the Orioles have certainly demonstrated a slower than 'projected' opportunity path.  Many people thought we should see Mountcastle in the summer of 2019....he got a lot of upper level seasoning.  They've certainly slow played nearly everyone at some level.  While the reasons for some of that may be outside the rationale anyone here would accept, I don't see a reason for them to stop it in the next couple years.

 

3) More for the pitchers, I think promotion could even be slower than the slower projections based on innings.  Everyone, including the pitchers in the MLs, got significantly reduced innings last year.  Time off may actually benefit some guys and less wear may be beneficial long-term for these guys, but I'd guess they'll be slower than normal trying to build up innings, especially if there's some limitations on the MiL schedule this year.



#4 russsnyder

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Posted 01 January 2021 - 05:20 PM

Great job on both of the articles.

I really enjoyed them.
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#5 BSLSteveBirrer

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Posted 02 January 2021 - 05:28 PM

Good read, both pieces.

 

For the pitchers I am pretty good across the board with your projections.

 

For the field players, not so much. Not that I disagree with your projections. I think they are very close to what the O's will do. I just think they are way too slow with these guys, especially guys who had several years of college baseball. 






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