59 replies to this topic

[Mike in STL]

Got a 4 way prop. Singletary at least 55 rush yards. CEH at least 50 rush yards. Kelce and Diggs at least 8 catches each.

+1150. Let’s go!

[BSLChrisStoner]

SI: Early line
https://www.si.com/....impression=true

[BSLChrisStoner]

Odds Shark: Best Betting Guide for Super Bowl Prop Bets

https://www.oddsshar...uper-bowl/props

 

Tampa Bay Times: Super Bowl prop bets: Patrick Mahomes is MVP favorite

https://www.tampabay...s-mvp-favorite/

[BSLChrisStoner]

CBS Sports: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers prop bets, odds: Vegas experts reveal top 30 picks for 2021 Super Bowl

https://www.cbssport...021-super-bowl/

[BSLChrisStoner]

CBS Sports: Prop bet guide

https://www.cbssport...rop-bets-guide/

[BSLChrisStoner]

Hedge fun: Store owner bets $3.46M on Bucs

[Pedro Cerrano]

Super Bowl bets:
-Chiefs -3
-OVER 55.5
-Mahomes most passing yards (-155)
-UNDER 11.5 accepted penalties (-165)
-Field Goal or PAT to hit an upright YES (+450)
-Tyreek Hill to have most receiving yards (+330)
-Mahomes to win MVP (-105)
-Shortest TD scored UNDER 1.5 yards (-155)
-Mahomes OVER 10.5 yards longest rush (-112)
-Kelce to score a TD and Chiefs win (+120)

GOOD LUCK ALL!

[Mike in STL]

Super Bowl bets:
-Chiefs -3
-OVER 55.5
-Mahomes most passing yards (-155)
-UNDER 11.5 accepted penalties (-165)
-Field Goal or PAT to hit an upright YES (+450)
-Tyreek Hill to have most receiving yards (+330)
-Mahomes to win MVP (-105)
-Shortest TD scored UNDER 1.5 yards (-155)
-Mahomes OVER 10.5 yards longest rush (-112)
-Kelce to score a TD and Chiefs win (+120)

GOOD LUCK ALL!

Good luck man.

 

I don't like that half point on the total. A 31-24 final will have you throwing a can of Coors Light across the room. 

I don't like the Mahomes most passing yards. Brady can easily rack up 400+ if the Bucs are playing catchup. 

Do like under 11.5 penalties, refs may let them play. 

I think I need a bit more in return than +450 to bet on the upright hit.

Hill most receiving yards I'm skeptical of since he demolished them in the regular season, they may try to take him away, opportunities for someone else.

If you're picking the KC like you are, might as well pick Mahomes as MVP at -105, good deal. If you're picking the Bucs, might as well pick Brady MVP.

Like the shortest TD under 1.5. Feel like two passing offenses, bound to see a PI in the endzone set up a short score.

 

 

 

I'll add a few from our recent podcast:

MeCole Hardman UNDER 4.5 catches (-120) However, that was Monday. This morning the number is 2.5 catches. So I just jumped on the OVER (+100) Landing on 3 or 4 catches and I'm golden there, winning both.

 

I also took a flier on Hardman at least 100 yards and at least 1 TD (+1100). Kind of a hedge against the under 4.5 catches at the time. If he were to go over and end up with 6 or so he should be near 100 yards. Maybe one of those is a bomb TD. Figure if they spend so much time on Hill so he doesn't go for 269 yards again, with out Fisher the Bucs can rush 4 and always have someone on Kelce, maybe Hardman has a game. Unlikely heroes usually show up in these games. Hardman as a deep threat, something like a 70 yard bomb, finish 4/105/1TD would be amazeballs. But a longshot nonetheless.

 

KC started slow last year, and Brady has started slow in every SB he's been in, so I picked first TD to come in the 2nd quarter (+450). Didn't see any value in taking a team to score a TD in the 1st (-1200). 

 

Others I like
Mike Evans to score a TD (+125)

OVER 2.5 players attempt a pass (+165) 

 

Oddly enough, not betting on the game result itself. Think KC wins. But can't bet against Brady. If the total drops to 53 or something, may bang the over, but not at 55.5, or the 56 I see right now. I'd have a hard time betting the under in any game with Mahomes in it. 

[BSLRoseKatz]

I like the prop bets just for The Weeknd, I'd put five dollars Can't Feel My Face being the first song he picks

 

https://www.covers.c...s/halftime-bets

[Mike in STL]

Not a Super Bowl bet, just a general observation. Saw on Bleacher Report a gambler did a 12 game parlay of “will this go to overtime” and picking “no” for all 12. Odds were -181, none of the games went to OT, so he made $55 and change on his $100 bet. Probably not a half bad idea for college BBall, NBA, NFL next year.

[BSLChrisStoner]

SI: Best bets and props
https://www-si-com.c...-bets-prop-bets

[Mike in STL]

Video on IG shows someone timing the National anthem rehearsal from outside the stadium. Went 2:15 and the last note on the word brave held for 10 seconds.

O/U on each is 2:03 and 6.5.

Good luck.

[BSLChrisStoner]

The Ringer: The Super Bowl Gambling Bonanza (Pod)
https://www.theringe...ambling-bonanza

[BSLChrisStoner]

ESPN: Printable Super Bowl 2021 prop bet scorecard

https://www.espn.com...p-bet-scorecard

[BSLChrisStoner]

CBS Sports: Super Bowl Props

https://www.cbssport...ET_RID=41609315

[Mike in STL]

Video on IG shows someone timing the National anthem rehearsal from outside the stadium. Went 2:15 and the last note on the word brave held for 10 seconds.

O/U on each is 2:03 and 6.5.

Good luck.

You’re welcome!

[BSLRoseKatz]

So did anyone profit today? 

[Pedro Cerrano]

So did anyone profit today?

I did because I won a handful of squares in various pools. I also had to book a $100 bet on KC because I didn’t put it in on the site in time.

Won a few of my bets listed above but the Chiefs crapping the bed hurt.

Mahomes actually out gained Brady through the air

[BSLNickStevens]

I'll take a $55 profit any day. 

 

Even got my wife to jump in last night and she threw some down on an o-lineman scoring a touchdown (only because it was an absurd bet and she's friends with Aaron Stinnie). So, so close on that one.

[Mike in STL]

So did anyone profit today?

The first quarter was 37 seconds too long. Hardman couldn’t just catch one more ball.