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Pedro's Pickz 2015


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#141 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 04 November 2015 - 10:41 PM

I'm sure blocking school practices are fun.

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#142 SBTarheel

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Posted 04 November 2015 - 11:02 PM

The ONLY point of any line is the linesmakers want the action to be split as close to 50/50 as possible. 

 

The most common misconception is that Vegas "thinks" the Vikings will beat the Redskins by 8 or whatever..They couldn't give two shits. 

 

Also, don't spend too much time obsessing over line movements, they're usually 50% also, regardless of what anyone says. 

 

When I first got into the business, I would spend HOURS every day writing down each movement on every game, every day thinking we could get an edge. I don't need to do that anymore. 


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#143 RShack

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Posted 05 November 2015 - 02:18 AM

I'm sure blocking school practices are fun.

 

Especially by the time they get to reps 50+...

 

This is why he hates to play freshmen....


 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#144 Mike in STL

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Posted 05 November 2015 - 07:06 AM

Btw, Randall, looks like you like Baylor.  Tomorrow night we go head to head.
 
Calling it now -- Baylor is on upset alert.



I could see that. KStates Super Bowl pretty much. But I think Baylor has a chip on their shoulder about the rankings and will be extra motivated. Plus I've read that their backup QB is no slouch.
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#145 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 05 November 2015 - 11:26 PM

GOOD START FOR THE PICKZ!!!!

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#146 Mike in STL

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Posted 07 November 2015 - 10:23 AM

Florida (-20.5) vs. Vandy
Northwestern (+1.5) vs. Penn State
Stanford (-16.5) @ Colorado
Eastern Michigan (+5) @ Miami (Ohio)
Florida State (+10.5) @ Clemson
Wisconsin (-10.5) vs. Maryland
Iowa (-6.5) @ Indiana
Marshall (+2.5) @ Mid. Tennessee St.
Houston (-9) vs. Cincinnati
LA Tech (-29) vs. North Texas
Memphis (-7.5) vs. Navy
Oklahoma vs. Iowa State OVER 59.5
South Florida (+4) @ East Carolina
Texas A&M (-7) vs. Auburn
Kansas @ Texas UNDER 52.5

53-32-1 after going 0-2 on Thursday.
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#147 SBTarheel

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Posted 07 November 2015 - 02:53 PM

LSU +7

Marshall +3

Wazzu -2.5

Idaho +10

Oregon -4

Iowa -7

Clemson -10.5

USF +4

Uconn -6


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#148 Mike in STL

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Posted 07 November 2015 - 04:08 PM

LSU +7
Marshall +3
Wazzu -2.5
Idaho +10
Oregon -4
Iowa -7
Clemson -10.5
USF +4
Uconn -6



We have some of the same underdog picks. Marshall, Idaho, USF.

Edit: I thought I wrote down Idaho, liked it, but I must not have. Damn.
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#149 Mike in STL

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Posted 07 November 2015 - 10:55 PM

Shaping up to be my second losing week of the year. The days of picking 80% winners seems like eons ago.

Season. 60-40-1
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#150 RShack

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Posted 08 November 2015 - 04:52 AM

Shaping up to be my second losing week of the year. The days of picking 80% winners seems like eons ago.
 

 

You shoulda quit while pedro was behiind   ;-)


 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#151 SBTarheel

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Posted 08 November 2015 - 09:46 AM

We have some of the same underdog picks. Marshall, Idaho, USF.

Edit: I thought I wrote down Idaho, liked it, but I must not have. Damn.

Marshall kicker missed FIVE FG's...What??????? 


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#152 RShack

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Posted 08 November 2015 - 10:03 AM

Marshall kicker missed FIVE FG's...What??????? 

 

Missing the first 4 was surprising... but when it came time for 5, you knew what was gonna happen...

 

Poor kid...


 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#153 Mike in STL

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Posted 08 November 2015 - 01:05 PM

Marshall kicker missed FIVE FG's...What??????? 



Thundering Turd
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#154 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 08 November 2015 - 01:13 PM

Lol.  Need my NFL pick to come through for an even week.


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#155 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 13 November 2015 - 03:20 PM

Record to Date:  30-29

 

Don't love the card this week, which means I'll prolly rolll in it.


Btw, have I caught Randall and Beaner yet?

 

Memphis (+7) at Houston

Tulsa (+18) at Cincinnati

Oklahoma (+3) at Baylor

Mississippi State (+9) vs. Alabama

Oklahoma State (-13.5) at Iowa State

 

NFL Bonus:  Cardinals (+3) at Seahawks

 

RShack already lost outright as a favorite.  Would have taken VT, FWIW.

 


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#156 Mike in STL

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Posted 14 November 2015 - 10:07 AM

60-40-1. Goal for the weekend, stay over 60%

 

I like service schools at home after Veterans Day, and Unders as the temperature drops.

 

Florida (-7.5) @ South Carolina

Army (-2.5) vs. Tulane

Ohio State @ Illinois UNDER 55.5

Purdue @ Northwestern UNDER 49

UT-San Antonio @ Charlotte UNDER 55.5

Air Force (+3) vs. Utah State

Eastern Michigan (+7) vs. UMass

Washington (+2.5) @ Arizona State

Miami @ North Carolina UNDER 67

Syracuse (+29) vs. Clemson

Mississippi State (+8) vs. Alabama

Florida International @ Marshall UNDER 54.5

Navy (-21) vs. SMU

Houston (-6.5) vs. Memphis

Iowa (-9.5) vs. Minnesota

 

I'll play the NFL game too.

 

Packers (-13) vs. Lions

Rams (-7.5) vs. Bears

Dolphins @ Eagles UNDER 49.5

Steelers (-4.5) vs. Browns

Cardinals (+3) @ Seahawks


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#157 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 14 November 2015 - 04:52 PM

I'd like to personally apologize to all OK State fans for ruining their season.
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There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

@bopper33


#158 Mike in STL

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Posted 16 November 2015 - 09:38 AM

7-8 NCAA. 3-2 NFL. 10-10. Ugh.

70-50-1
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#159 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 16 November 2015 - 10:12 AM

4-2.  34-31


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

@bopper33


#160 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 19 November 2015 - 12:58 PM

Record to Date:  34-31

 

LOVE the card this week.  My favorite card of the year. I am PERSONALLY guaranteeing at least a 4-2 week.  Play me or fade me!!!!

 

UNC (-5.5) at Virginia Tech

Georgia Tech at Miami OVER 56.5

Oklahoma State (pk) vs. Baylor

Michigan (-4) vs. Penn State

Utah (-2.5) vs. UCLA

 

NFL Bonus:  Panthers (-7) vs. Redskins

 

RShack:  Miami (+2.5) vs. Georgia Tech

 

I also like these games this weekend, that's how much I love this card, but these won't count for or against my record:

 

-Missouri (+7.5) vs. Tennessee (note:  I would have taken this game but Tennessee has boned me too much this year)

-Indiana (+3) at Maryland

-Memphis (-1.5) at Temple

-UNC at Va Tech OVER 61.5

-Ohio State (-13) vs. Michigan State

-Michigan at Penn State UNDER 41.5

-Florida Atlantic (+31) at Florida

 

 

 


There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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