Posted 27 March 2013 - 01:08 PM
So sounds like the base is 5/$27M. Assuming the option bonus next year is picked up, he's pretty much uncuttable after that year, as it'd be more dead money to cut him ($7.125M) than it would be in salary cap hit to keep him ($6.375M) in 2015, so it's gonna be at least a 3/$17M deal.
If he's cut after that third year, then there will be $4.75M in dead money on the books for 2016, though that is less than his $6.375M cap hit would be to be on the roster that season.
If he's not cut until before the final year, then it'll be $2.375M in dead money in 2017 instead of a $7.375M cap hit to be on the roster.
I'd say 50/50 at this point that he's cut before the fourth year, it's not a ton of savings and he may still be playing better than the $1.625M in cap savings could get us. Almost a lock he's cut before the final year, though.