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FanGraphs: Sunday Notes: RoY Candidate Colton Cowser Contemplates Contact


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#21 BSLRoseKatz

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 08:53 AM

So were last night's 15 strikeouts the same as putting the ball in play?

 

Snell's had a .204 BABIP since he returned from the IL in July which is the third-best mark in that timeframe, don't think anything other than 9 Tony Gwynns was going to produce a productive approach against someone pitching that well across multiple months

 

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#22 ivanbalt

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 08:58 AM

Snell's had a .204 BABIP since he returned from the IL in July which is the third-best mark in that timeframe, don't think anything other than 9 Tony Gwynns was going to produce a productive approach against someone pitching that well across multiple months

 

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Perhaps, but they also struck out 13 times in Friday's great 1 hit 1 walk performance.



#23 Mackus

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 09:51 AM

So were last night's 15 strikeouts the same as putting the ball in play?

 

You're willing to live with an increased K-rate if the balls in play are more likely to be hits or homers.  If those batted balls aren't more likely to do damage than a ball hit with a less aggressive approach, then the equation doesn't work. 

 

You can't just isolate K-rate as the only variable.  It's K-rate versus quality of batted ball.  If you can keep the K-rate down while keeping the quality of contact high, that's the ideal.  More hard hit balls in play is great.  But most players can't do that, and if they choke up to avoid a K, then their exit velocity and expectation of getting a hit or homer with the ball in play goes down.


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#24 ivanbalt

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 10:15 AM

You're willing to live with an increased K-rate if the balls in play are more likely to be hits or homers.  If those batted balls aren't more likely to do damage than a ball hit with a less aggressive approach, then the equation doesn't work. 

 

You can't just isolate K-rate as the only variable.  It's K-rate versus quality of batted ball.  If you can keep the K-rate down while keeping the quality of contact high, that's the ideal.  More hard hit balls in play is great.  But most players can't do that, and if they choke up to avoid a K, then their exit velocity and expectation of getting a hit or homer with the ball in play goes down.


Well there's plenty of Ks and not a lot of quality contact lately.



#25 Mackus

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Posted 18 September 2024 - 10:22 AM


Well there's plenty of Ks and not a lot of quality contact lately.

 

Yes, they're hitting like crap as a team recently.






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