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BSL: Is Shaun Marcum Worth Taking a Chance On?


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#1 LanceRinker

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Posted 12 November 2012 - 07:30 PM

http://baltimorespor...ng-a-chance-on/

#2 SportsGuy

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Posted 12 November 2012 - 08:24 PM

Lance, do you think every player is going to sign a 1 year deal for 8-10 million? :)

For the right price, he is worth it...no doubt.

#3 LanceRinker

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Posted 12 November 2012 - 09:30 PM

Lance, do you think every player is going to sign a 1 year deal for 8-10 million? :)

For the right price, he is worth it...no doubt.


If that's all they're worth - yes.

I know I'd sign a 1 year deal worth between $8 and $10 million. :D

#4 dpsmith22

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 01:17 PM

I love Marcum's makeup, stuff, and his proven ability in the AL East. I wish he could master the art of staying healthy.

I don't believe Marcum gets 8-10mil after his injury riddled season.

I would love to have him. He isn't a 1, but a solid 2 to go along with Hammel.
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#5 LanceRinker

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 01:24 PM

I love Marcum's makeup, stuff, and his proven ability in the AL East. I wish he could master the art of staying healthy.

I don't believe Marcum gets 8-10mil after his injury riddled season.

I would love to have him. He isn't a 1, but a solid 2 to go along with Hammel.


I think if a team signs him to an incentive laden contract, he could potentially earn upwards of that if he's healthy all season long.

He could also top out at around $5 or $6 million too. I may have been a bit generous when doing my valuation of him.

#6 Tucker Blair

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 01:46 PM

I thought it was interesting that Scott Baker just got $5.5MM base salary with $1.5MM in incentives. That is coming off Tommy John Surgery. Marcum has had his share of injuries, so I am very curious to see what ends up getting.

#7 SportsGuy

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 01:56 PM

I thought it was interesting that Scott Baker just got $5.5MM base salary with $1.5MM in incentives. That is coming off Tommy John Surgery. Marcum has had his share of injuries, so I am very curious to see what ends up getting.

Insane to give him that much money.

He is a great guy to take a chance on...but for 5.5M base? stupid.

Not as dumb as the Affedlt contract, which may easily be the worst contract given out this offseason but still, pretty bad.

#8 JeremyStrain

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 02:12 PM

Insane to give him that much money.

He is a great guy to take a chance on...but for 5.5M base? stupid.

Not as dumb as the Affedlt contract, which may easily be the worst contract given out this offseason but still, pretty bad.


That is how the market works. One team offers him $2.5 base with incentives, he shops that to the next team that offers him 3.5 with less incentives, then shops that to another and so on.

The market bares what it will bare, no amount of deciding what is fair for a certain player is ever going to determine actual contracts. Especially when you factor in teams that have money to spend, teams that are trying to send a message to fans, and teams that just really like certain players more than they should.
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#9 RShack

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Posted 13 November 2012 - 03:21 PM

I thought it was interesting that Scott Baker just got $5.5MM base salary with $1.5MM in incentives. That is coming off Tommy John Surgery. Marcum has had his share of injuries, so I am very curious to see what ends up getting.

What all was wrong with him?

 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#10 erb8472

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 03:23 PM

I would be very interested in Marcum especially if it is a friendly contract due to his injury concerns. He is a bull dog on the mound.

#11 clapdiddy

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 04:34 PM

I would definitely be interested in Marcum, but someone is going to give him a multi-year deal for big money. I don't see us going too high for him.

#12 LanceRinker

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 04:36 PM

I would definitely be interested in Marcum, but someone is going to give him a multi-year deal for big money. I don't see us going too high for him.


I think the most he would get from a team is a one year deal with a second year option. Some team may give him a second year based on certain requirements being met, thus causing that option year to become guaranteed (much like Betemit's deal with us).

#13 clapdiddy

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 04:39 PM

I think the most he would get from a team is a one year deal with a second year option. Some team may give him a second year based on certain requirements being met, thus causing that option year to become guaranteed (much like Betemit's deal with us).


If we can get him with a one-year deal with an option based on starts, I'd be all for it.

#14 Mike B

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 05:00 PM

http://baltimorespor...ng-a-chance-on/

Marcum has always been a guy I hoped the Orioles would get.
That said, it is clear we are on a tight budget, and IMO, we can not tie up 8 million for a guy like Marcum who could wind up pitching 25 innings next year. We can not gamble that much.

BTW, He has been damaged ggods for awhile. He might not get anywhere near 8-10.
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#15 RShack

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 06:19 PM

http://baltimorespor...ng-a-chance-on/

Stupid me, I asked what was wrong with him after you'd explained all that... I guess that's what the link is for, huh?

Man, he sure seems to have had a lot of stuff go wrong with him. Every basic P-part so far, including 2 different things last year, with only the TJ thing being what you might call a solution. Why would anybody think that's all in the past? Now that he's 31, he's gonna be healthier?

After TJ he has been good when he can pitch. Do we know of examples of guys with histories somewhat like his: missed 2 years, then 2 good years back, then a season with multiple injuries, then...reliably good again?

 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#16 RShack

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 06:21 PM

Do we know of examples of guys with histories somewhat like his: missed 2 years, then 2 good years back, then a season with multiple injuries, then...reliably good again?

Other than Jim Palmer, that is :-)

 "The only change is that baseball has turned Paige from a second-class citizen to a second-class immortal." - Satchel Paige


#17 JeremyStrain

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Posted 15 November 2012 - 06:35 PM

Stupid me, I asked what was wrong with him after you'd explained all that... I guess that's what the link is for, huh?

Man, he sure seems to have had a lot of stuff go wrong with him. Every basic P-part so far, including 2 different things last year, with only the TJ thing being what you might call a solution. Why would anybody think that's all in the past? Now that he's 31, he's gonna be healthier?

After TJ he has been good when he can pitch. Do we know of examples of guys with histories somewhat like his: missed 2 years, then 2 good years back, then a season with multiple injuries, then...reliably good again?

He's got something going on with his shoulder right now too. Just not a guy I would bet millions on staying healthy.
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#18 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 27 December 2012 - 12:24 PM

At this point in the off-season, what type of contract do you expect Marcum to sign?

#19 SportsGuy

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Posted 27 December 2012 - 12:27 PM

At this point in the off-season, what type of contract do you expect Marcum to sign?

There have been a few guys who did next to nothing(or nothing) this offseason that signed 1/5 type deals coming off of injuries.

Marcum was able to pitch at the end of the year and he was effective.

I don't expect him to get more than 1 year but something in the 5.5-8M range(with incentives added on) sounds about right.

I like Marcum and would like to get him but trading for Porcello makes more sense to me.

#20 Mike B

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Posted 27 December 2012 - 06:23 PM

I have always liked Marcum, but I would not give him more than 2.5, if that. I think the likelihood of him winding on the DL is high.
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