Pretty spot on. I think the main reason for Cincinnati's surge has been that the investment in their offensive line is finally paying off. They are not giving up sacks and they are run blocking well for either Mixon or Perine. With the skill players that Cincinnati has if their Oline stays healthy they are right there with KC and Buffalo.
For the second year in a row the Ravens started off hot, even with the defensive collapses, and look like they are limping to the finish. They probably finish either 3-2 or 2-3 and still make the playoffs, but it will probably be a road playoff game and most likely a one and done.
For Pittsburgh it's all about Kenny Pickett showing progress. They aren't winning out to make the playoffs, but if Pickett shows progress it sets them up for a possible rebound next year. But they seriously need to fix that Oline. I don't know their cap situation, but you would figure that without Roethlisberger's contract they should have money to spend this offseason.
Cleveland is still Cleveland. I've always thought DeShaun Watson was overrated and his first game back looked like it. We'll see if it was just rust but they aren't going anywhere this year either. I think they were pointing to next year from the moment they signed him anyway. It just remains to be seen if he can even show flashes of being a decent QB after all of the time off.