You had it right, I had it wrong... but that wasn't what was said. It wasn't a question of would he still hit in '15, it was how much longer would he hit at that level?
Which... I still think I'd come to the same conclusion. He was 34. His '14 season was his best year in 4 years, so reasonably... that would seem like the outlier. What's crazy is that since '14, he has had a better year than '14 in 5 of the 6 seasons.
That's insane. If you saw that coming, more power to you.
Wasn’t trying to toot my own horn. Not a direct quote of course, and yeah, some guys play falls off at that age.
I just didn’t think he was going to be one of those guys. Relatively, he wasn’t going to cost that much to roll the dice and see how many more years he can give you. The Orioles at that time could have certainly afforded to take the chance. If he fell off at say 37, 3 years into a 5 year deal, how do those three seasons pan out? Is he still tradeable where maybe you only have to eat part of the remaining contract? It’s almost like the Orioles try to think long term, but don’t know all their options. Their long term plans seems short sighted if that makes sense. They hear 5 years for a 34 year old and think they don’t want to pay a 39 year old, so pass. Not necessarily how it has to work.