Photo

Ovechkin


  • Please log in to reply
2 replies to this topic

#1 BSLMikeRandall

BSLMikeRandall

    Sr. Ravens Analyst

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 26,888 posts

Posted 20 March 2018 - 09:46 AM

Can the GCOAT get his own thread?

 

Crunching some numbers since he recently scored his 600th goal, becoming the 4th player in history to score 600 goals in under 1,000 games. 

 

Goals per game.

 

2005 - .64

2006 - .56

2007 - .79

2008 - .70

2009 - .69

2010 - .41

2011 - .48

2012 - .67

2013 - .65

2014 - .65

2015 - .63

2016 - .40

2017 - .60

 

Averages .61 goals per game for his career

Averaging about that in 2017-18

Averaging .54 G/G over the last three years

Averaged .65 G/G in the three years before that

 

Ovi is currently tied for 19th all-time in goals scored at 601. He is 32 years old. 

 

Even though 2016 looks like an outlier, .54 G/G seems very attainable over the next three years up to his age 35 season. That would put him at around 730-740 goals at the end of the 2020-21 season. Good enough to put him at top 5 in all-time goals after 16 years. 

 

If Ovi sits at 730 goals after 16 years at age 35, he will have 165 goals left to eclipse the great one.

If Ovi plays for 20 years, he would have to score .51 G/G in those next four years (2021-22 - 2024-25) to become the all-time leader. About 42 a year.

 

I think it's safe to say if he avoids major injury that shortens his seasons or career, if the NHL avoids lockouts, if Ovi's play doesn't fall off a cliff, Ovi has a chance to be the all time goals scored leader. Extremely impressive given that scoring is down with better goaltenders, compared to the early part of Gretzkys career. 

 

Maybe regression happens faster, he might have to play until age 42 or something. But where he sits today, the all-time record is absolutely in reach. 

 

Now, about that cup......


  • DuffMan and Dupin like this
@BSLMikeRandall

#2 BSLChrisStoner

BSLChrisStoner

    Owner

  • Administrators
  • 148,690 posts

Posted 08 June 2018 - 07:17 AM

CBS Sports: Alex Ovechkin's first Stanley Cup flips the script of his legacy and should shut all his haters up for good
https://www.cbssport...rs-up-for-good/


  • Dupin likes this

#3 You Play to Win the Game

You Play to Win the Game

    HOF

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 57,269 posts
  • LocationMaryland

Posted 08 June 2018 - 03:35 PM

He is now the only player in NHL history with 3 or more Hart Trophies (Regular Season MVP) and a Conn Smythe Trophy.

“We have a shot at a wild card right now. But it is not a probability that we're going to win a wild card.” -2022 Trade Deadline

"It's liftoff from here" - after selling on 2022

"We're on a slight upward arc" - Winter Meetings 2022

"I think it's really hard to sit there and chart a course and say, 'We're likely to win the division.'" - Winter Meetings 2022

Mike Elias





0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users


Our Sponsors


 width=  width=