564 replies to this topic

[makoman]

I saw it speculated that the A's need to spend some money to avoid losing revenue sharing status, like they did a few years ago. I'm sure they had to blow anybody away to play for them, I think some FAs already said they have no desire to play in their minor league stadium.

[You Play to Win the Game]

The A's...yes, the Oakland A's, have signed Luis Severino.  He signed for 3/$67M, a pretty good bit higher than MLBTR's 3/$51M prediction, though still just a 3-year deal.  He also has an opt-out after Year 2.  I'm pretty floored that the Athletics are involved in spending serious money.  Not sure if this tells us much about pitching market, it's still in family with most of the expectations and the early contracts we've seen, but its decidedly higher AAV than expected which could be market rising or could be A's having to blow people out of the water to attract anyone.

 

Severino had received and rejected a Qualifying Offer, so the A's will lose their 3rd highest pick and the Mets will get a comp pick after the 4th round.

Wild they're spending money. Wild that Severino was the target. That is one way to get your owner to go back to his default state to nix any future spending.

[TwentyThirtyFive]

Its becoming clear to me that the FA market will be more active this year and most contracts will outshoot projections. At least the projections of MLBTR.

[BSLRoseKatz]

Spending your entire professional career in New York and then deciding to live in Sacramento is a pretty good bit

[Mackus]

Its becoming clear to me that the FA market will be more active this year and most contracts will outshoot projections. At least the projections of MLBTR.

 

Still early and only a few deals signed, but I don't think the prices have been much above expectations.  Snell on the surface seems bigger, but with the deferrals it's really not.  This Severino deal is probably the most above expectations that has happened.  Fair to argue it's simply because market is rising, but I do think there is something to the idea of Oakland having to overpay.  And even in this case it wasn't dramatically higher, or at least not any longer than expected.  $22M instead of $17M is a non-trivial bump, though.

 

Also not trying to use MLBTR as some sort of gold standard, just an easy to refer to reference that has made a thoughtful prediction for just about anyone of consequence.  Works well as a consistent point of comparison.