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Rate these college pitchers at draft time 2011-2012


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#1 RichardZ

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 12:59 PM

Gerritt Cole
Trevor Bauer
Danny Hultzen
Taylor Jungmann
Mark Appel
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Zimmer
Marcus Stroman



It's said that these draft is much weaker than last year's draft. If so, I would expect this year's crop of college pitchers to rank lower than last year's for the most part. Is that true?
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#2 JeremyStrain

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 01:07 PM

Gerritt Cole
Trevor Bauer
Danny Hultzen
Taylor Jungmann
Mark Appel
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Zimmer
Marcus Stroman



It's said that these draft is much weaker than last year's draft. If so, I would expect this year's crop of college pitchers to rank lower than last year's for the most part. Is that true?



I'd have to go:
Cole
Bauer
Hultzen
Appel
Gausman
Stroman
Zimmer
Jungmann

With the caveat I'm much higher on Stroman than most and that Appel-Zimmer are all tightly packed together.
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#3 Stotle

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 01:07 PM

Gerritt Cole
Trevor Bauer
Danny Hultzen
Taylor Jungmann
Mark Appel
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Zimmer
Marcus Stroman



It's said that these draft is much weaker than last year's draft. If so, I would expect this year's crop of college pitchers to rank lower than last year's for the most part. Is that true?


Just my opinion, at the time of the draft:
Cole
Gausman/Jungmann/Appel/Gray
Zimmer/Hultzen/Bradley
Bauer/Barnes/Stroman
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#4 RichardZ

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 02:00 PM

Thanks for the response. Very interesting to see all three (Gauzman, Appel, and Zimmer) ranked ahead of Hultzen and Bauer who I think went 2-3 in the draft last year.

#5 Stotle

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 02:15 PM

Thanks for the response. Very interesting to see all three (Gauzman, Appel, and Zimmer) ranked ahead of Hultzen and Bauer who I think went 2-3 in the draft last year.


Cole (ace upside; high probability MLB starter)
Gausman/Jungmann/Appel/Gray (Front-end upside; above-average probability MLB starter)
Zimmer (front-end upside; fringe-average probability MLB starter)
Hultzen(Mid-rotation to #2 upside; high probability MLB starter)
Bradley (Mid-roation to #2 upside; average probability MLB starter)
Bauer (mid-rotation upside; average probability MLB starter)
Barnes (mid-rotation upsdie; average probability MLB starter)
Stroman (mid-rotation upside; fringe-average probability MLB starter)
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#6 Greg Pappas

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 03:57 PM

Gerritt Cole
Trevor Bauer
Danny Hultzen
Taylor Jungmann
Mark Appel
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Zimmer
Marcus Stroman



It's said that these draft is much weaker than last year's draft. If so, I would expect this year's crop of college pitchers to rank lower than last year's for the most part. Is that true?


Cole
Gausman
Bauer
Appel
Zimmer
Hultzen
Jungmann
Stroman

#7 RVAbird

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 05:13 PM

Gerritt Cole
Trevor Bauer
Danny Hultzen
Taylor Jungmann
Mark Appel
Kevin Gausman
Kyle Zimmer
Marcus Stroman



It's said that these draft is much weaker than last year's draft. If so, I would expect this year's crop of college pitchers to rank lower than last year's for the most part. Is that true?


I'll give it a shot.

Cole

Gausman
Apple
Jungmann

Hultzen
Zimmer
Bauer

Stroman

I know I was higher on Jungmann and lower on Bauer than most media outlets.
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#8 RVAbird

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 05:16 PM

I do think that this years draft is weaker in terms of top 10 and first round talent, but (with the exception of Cole) the college arms are comparable. Cole, Starling, Rendon and Bundy at the top made 2011 special. There is no single talent in that elite realm in 2012 in my opinion.
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#9 bnickle

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 08:19 PM

Interesting opinions on Gausman and Appel compared to Bauer and Hultzen. To be honest it's making me lean towards wanting one of them slightly more than Correa or Buxton who I've had higher on my want list to this point. I mean it is true that we need a front line caliber SP that can move fast in this organization other than Bundy.

#10 RVAbird

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Posted 01 June 2012 - 08:51 PM

Interesting opinions on Gausman and Appel compared to Bauer and Hultzen. To be honest it's making me lean towards wanting one of them slightly more than Correa or Buxton who I've had higher on my want list to this point. I mean it is true that we need a front line caliber SP that can move fast in this organization other than Bundy.


To be clear, I disagree(d) with many national writers who saw Bauer and Hultzen as elite (top, top tier, ace ceiling/high floor) arms. I docked them both for control/command and thought their deception, which made college hitters look silly, wouldn't play up against ML hitters. I saw them as very safe bets (health permitting) to start in MLB (and reach that level quickly), but not particularly likely to settle in at the top of a rotation. In my opinion, some people may have been too focused on their eye-popping performances against college hitters and not focused enough on how the stuff would translate to MLB.

I like the total package that Gausman and Appel provide a bit better, but I'm sure there are plenty of evaluators and writers who would strongly disagree.

Re: the college pitchers vs. prep hitters, I've still not decided on Gausman vs. Correa. It would probably be a gun-to-my-head, gut call on draft day if I were BAL and both were available. I'd want a strong idea of signability to break the tie. Appel is a half step behind the two for me and I have some concerns about Buxton that make me think he would not be the best fit for the Orioles organization at 1:4.
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#11 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 04 June 2012 - 12:06 PM

This thread should alleviate the worries from some of Gausman's upside.

#12 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 04 June 2012 - 07:05 PM

With Gausman being the choice, posters may want to take another look at this thread.




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