I don't see an incentive for the Orioles to push Rutschman to the MLs as soon as possible. There's no indication they are trying to compete and Service is what it is. This season had some interesting development challenges and it appears he's had about as much development as you can get in this environment, but the reality is he hasn't even caught a full season of A ball yet. He hasn't produced significant results anywhere (that's OK, it's still a fact).
It wouldn't be unreasonable to go...
2020 (22): Camp
2021 (23): A, end AA
2022 (24): AA, end AAA
2023 (25): AAA/ML (protect service year)
2024 (26): TC1 (600k)
2025 (27): TC2 (600k)
2026 (28): TC3 (750k)
2027 (29): ARB1 (5.0) assuming he's pretty good
2028 (30): ARB2 (8.5)
2029 (31): ARB3 (12.5)
2030 (32): FA1
If you think that's silly, OK, but he'd spend less than a full year at any level.
So contractually, Adley would get about 28.4M through 2029 and hit FA at 32....even if they give him 2023 (partial year in 2022), he's still hitting FA at 31. If you assume he's great (almost doubling those ARB numbers), he's looking at something like 46.4M through 2029 (or 2028).
No matter what anyone says, that's the reality he could reasonably looking at for his career.
I always think the solution to solving challenges like this is the contract. Again, this would be totally up to Adley/agent to pursue something more aggressive but you have to create some incentive for the team.