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2023-24 Game 14: 1/2 #1 Purdue 7PM Peacock


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#1 BSLZackKiesel

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Posted 31 December 2023 - 12:29 PM

With their non-conference schedule wrapped up, Maryland is set to face off against #1 Purdue to kick off their full conference slate on Tuesday night. Purdue currently holds a record of 12-1 (1-1), with their only loss coming on the road in overtime to Northwestern. Their non-conference schedule was a smashing success, with notable victories over Gonzaga, Tennessee, Marquette, Alabama, and Arizona. Zach Edey is in full form, averaging 23 points and 10 rebounds per game for the Boilermakers in his quest to become only the second-ever two-time Wooden Award winner.

 

These two teams met twice last season, splitting the series with the home team winning each game. This has been a fairly even matchup historically, with Purdue winning 8 of the 14 games played since Maryland joined the Big Ten conference. The Terps haven't lost to the Boilermakers at home since 2017.

 

You can only watch this game with a subscription to NBC's Peacock streaming service. Access begins at $5.99/month. In addition to this matchup, the team's game against Wisconsin on February 20th will be broadcast exclusively on this service.

 

KenPom Rankings

  • Maryland: #74 (#134 AdjO, #25 AdjD; #270 AdjT)
  • Purdue: #2 (#2 AdjO, #9 AdjD; #134 AdjT)

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#2 BSLZackKiesel

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 08:33 AM

Purdue enters this game as 5.5-point favorites. ESPN gives them an 80.3% chance to win.
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#3 Mackus

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 09:05 AM

5.5 points!?

 

Hell, as cowardly as it is I might sign up for a 6 point loss right now and call that a solid moral victory for where this team has been so far.  Guess Purdue did lose their only other true road game, so maybe the Terps can catch them similarly. 


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#4 glenn__davis

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 10:13 AM

I might consider starting Swanton-Rodger, let him foul out in the 1st half.  Then Reese can come in at halftime with no fouls so he can at least get in 15 minutes or so of time before fouling out himself.



#5 Mackus

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 10:18 AM

I might consider starting Swanton-Rodger, let him foul out in the 1st half.  Then Reese can come in at halftime with no fouls so he can at least get in 15 minutes or so of time before fouling out himself.

 

Reese has had more than 3 fouls in only 4 games this year.  Fouled out twice.  Edey is a different opponent, so certainly possible that Reese and others get in trouble trying to defend, but I've always felt that the complaints that Reese is foul prone are overblown.



#6 BSLZackKiesel

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 10:18 AM

I might consider starting Swanton-Rodger, let him foul out in the 1st half. Then Reese can come in at halftime with no fouls so he can at least get in 15 minutes or so of time before fouling out himself.

Reese only had 2 fouls in 36 minutes when they beat Purdue last year. He’s historically held his own against Edey.


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#7 You Play to Win the Game

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 10:35 AM

5.5 points!?

Hell, as cowardly as it is I might sign up for a 6 point loss right now and call that a solid moral victory for where this team has been so far. Guess Purdue did lose their only other true road game, so maybe the Terps can catch them similarly.

Yeah, that is a shocking line. Especially with the students still on break.

#8 glenn__davis

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 10:40 AM

Reese has had more than 3 fouls in only 4 games this year.  Fouled out twice.  Edey is a different opponent, so certainly possible that Reese and others get in trouble trying to defend, but I've always felt that the complaints that Reese is foul prone are overblown.

 

Fouls per game doesn't mean much to me because obviously once guys get to a certain amount they sit.  

 

Hopefully he has cleaned things up a bit (I haven't been able to watch many games this year), but I completely disagree that his propensity to foul has been overblown in the past.  It has been a huge struggle for him from day 1.  



#9 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 11:52 AM

5.5 points!?

 

Hell, as cowardly as it is I might sign up for a 6 point loss right now and call that a solid moral victory for where this team has been so far.  Guess Purdue did lose their only other true road game, so maybe the Terps can catch them similarly. 


Are the kids still out?  
Going to be any type of crowd?



#10 BSLZackKiesel

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 12:12 PM


Are the kids still out?  
Going to be any type of crowd?

Spring semester doesn't start until January 24th, so the student section will be fairly empty the next few weeks. I know they've been advertising discounts on tickets for tonight's game, so they're clearly having a tough time filling the place.


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#11 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 12:18 PM

Spring semester doesn't start until January 24th, so the student section will be fairly empty the next few weeks. I know they've been advertising discounts on tickets for tonight's game, so they're clearly having a tough time filling the place.



There will be some tickets sold because it's a conference game, and Purdue is obviously good.... but with the students out, combined with MD's start to the year... I'm thinking it's not going to be some hostile environment for the Boilermakers to deal with.



#12 You Play to Win the Game

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 01:04 PM

The angle to this being anything resembling a decent game (it's unwinnable for the Terps IMHO) - is MD is desperate for a banner win if they want to have any hopes of dancing whatsoever. And Purdue could be sleep walking coming off New Year's and taking this team lightly. That's the only way this game is within the spread. I think Purdue wins by 15+.



#13 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 01:22 PM

NW put 92 on them.  (Did go to OT, 76 in regulation.)

In that game, NW was 10 of 20 from 3, Purdue was 5 of 19.  

NW was only 20 of 32 at the line... but the 32 attempts was big.
Remarkably, they survived Purdue having 41 FT attempts!

 

NW was out rebounded 52-27! 

 

NW did have 8 steals (Purdue 1), and NW only had 3 turnovers while Purdue had 17. 

 

 

Since that game, Purdue has won their last 5, and is averaging 90.2 ppg in that stretch. 

 

 

As Zack mentioned, last year MD and Purdue split two games. 

At Purdue, MD lost 58-55, and at CP, MD won 68-54.

 

In MD's win, Purdue was 2 of 13 from 3, and had just 10 FT attempts. 
MD was 5 of 11 from 3, and 13 of 16 at the line. 

MD had 8 turnovers, Purdue had 7.

 

MD won on the boards 35-23.

 

MD only played 8, and really only 7 guys (Long had 2 minutes). 

 

 

Tonight could be different....   Willard might want to shorten the bench, but Swanton-Rodger picks up a lot of fouls quickly, and Willard doesn't have an experienced big like Emilien to use. 

 

Would think MD tries to limit their 3's...  and do think MD has to try and get points in transition vs settling for 1/2 court sets. 
MD's offense would be really helped if they can get to the line. 

 

Seems like a good bet that Purdue scores more than the 56 ppg they averaged vs. MD last year.

 

 

Ricker, agree that you'd need Purdue to come out slow / unfocused and for MD to come out swinging. 



#14 BSLZackKiesel

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 01:40 PM

When Maryland beat Purdue last year, they forced Edey into a lot of turnovers. He’s not a good passer, so if you can force him out of the lane (which yes, is easier said than done) you have a chance for some steals and easy buckets in transition if you play the passing lanes well.

Willard has already said he won’t be doubling Edey, which is the right move. He’ll get his points, but the key is closing down on Purdue’s shooters on the perimeter.
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#15 Mike in STL

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 01:59 PM

I'm in the minority, given Edey's resume. But Edey shouldn't be as good as he is. He is slow, lumbering, everything he does is slow. Passes are lazy. He's not even aggressive on the boards. He's basically Wil Bowers if Bowers could score. Bowers is the softest 7-footer I've ever seen. Edey is close to it. Yet somehow scores 23 a game. I understand Edey is 4" taller than Bowers, but still. 


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#16 You Play to Win the Game

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 02:13 PM


I'm in the minority, given Edey's resume. But Edey shouldn't be as good as he is. He is slow, lumbering, everything he does is slow. Passes are lazy. He's not even aggressive on the boards. He's basically Wil Bowers if Bowers could score. Bowers is the softest 7-footer I've ever seen. Edey is close to it. Yet somehow scores 23 a game. I understand Edey is 4" taller than Bowers, but still.

You're on it. TwentyThirtyFive, too. Why do you think he came back this season? He’s not a real prospect IMO. It isn’t THAT hard to be good in college when you’re that freakishly tall.
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#17 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 02:22 PM

He's not an NBA player (maybe a backup, but i don't think so). But he's going to earn a good living playing basketball somewhere. 
He's a very effective college player obviously.   
He can be picked on a little bit because of his limitations... but he's not Bowers. 
Besides being 7'4, he's also 300 lbs.  He's not Shawn Bradley where you can just push him around. 


He's in that weird triangulation where because he's not a real NBA talent, he feels overrated....  but I think that dismisses how good / effective he is at this level.



#18 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 02:53 PM

Anyone know if this will be on TV at bars? I know the peacock exclusive nfl games were available at bars due to some sort of agreement.

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

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#19 Mike in STL

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 03:11 PM

Anyone know if this will be on TV at bars? I know the peacock exclusive nfl games were available at bars due to some sort of agreement.

I heard all bars except Outback Steakhouse. 


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#20 BaltBird 24

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Posted 02 January 2024 - 03:35 PM

I heard all bars except Outback Steakhouse.


That's the only bar I go to.




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