Seems like we have been saying this for a few years now. He'll have a hot streak or two to lift his average at some point, but they seem to be fewer and farther in between.
Saying what?
Last year was his only "bad" season offensively. Sure 2009 and 2010 weren't anywhere near what he had done the two years prior, but they were still acceptable seasons. I think his baseline is basically aorund an .800 OPS now. If he has an average season, he'll be right around there. A good season and maybe he's up near .850. A bad season and he's down around .750.
He's definitely not likely to be the .900-OPS (.300/.400/.500) guy we all thought he would be when we gave him the contract, which is very disappointing.
Hopefully his slow start this year only lasts a few weeks instead of a couple months like last year. That's why his numbers were so low. He had really solid numbers the last four months of the season, but they couldn't erase his really terrible start. I doubt we'll see him in the low .600s in OPS into early June like we did last year, but I guess we'll find out.