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[BradJohnson]

https://blogs.fangra...market-musings/

 

If you find this post interesting enough to get through, I think it has obvious implications on the challenges ahead of the Orioles. I've vocally advocated for Baltimore to sign one of the Major shortstops on the market simply because it's rare to have opportunities to acquire players of the caliber of Turner/Correa/Bogaerts and Baltimore would have to try very hard to have a true budget crisis within the life of those contracts.

 

Conversely, I counsel against pursuing Dansby because he more closely resembles the deep pile of internal infielders in the org. The club might prefer internally to target Ohtani/Nola/Urias types next winter with the money they might otherwise spend on SS this winter. They could view that as a better optimization of resources.

[dude]

I meant to comment on this earlier this week but with Winter Meetings, etc going on...

 

...but congratulations to Ben for allowing himself to wake up a little.  These musings are (at some level) my issue with Fangraphs.  They've done a great job creating market for themselves as a platform for a number of things, but the generalization that goes with allowing everyone to do "analysis" and feel like the know something (and all of the articles which are mostly wrong, but published!).  Things like "surplus value" give people the sense they know something, even when almost all of it is wrong.

 

I'd push back on a couple things that he alludes to that should be pushed back on ("windows of opportunity") similarly to how he's pushing back on some other concepts in the article, but hey, small steps. 

 

I don't know that it has much consequence (directly at least) to the way the Orioles build their roster, but the path he's headed down is Performance Formula^TM and Cost of Availability^TM which is part of how all rosters drive success.

 

This one isn't really an article in the sense of most articles there, but hat tip to this.  Realizing what he's realizing here is a start.

 

IMO.