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O's 2021 Record Prediction


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Poll: Win Prediction (12 member(s) have cast votes)

How many games will the Orioles win?

  1. 50-59 (2 votes [16.67%])

    Percentage of vote: 16.67%

  2. 60-69 (6 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

  3. 70-79 (4 votes [33.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 33.33%

  4. 80-89 (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

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#21 Old Man

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:08 AM

What part of that opinion is unfounded?

 

Franco is barely above 300 OBP for his career.  Galvis is below 300.  Mountcastle and Hays almost never (under 5%) walked in the minors.  OBP seems likely to be a major weakness for this offense.

Do you really need me to recap all the things that Law has said over the years that was wrong?

 

Due to that, I ignore anything he writes about. Sorry, I just dont give the time of day, he hasn't earned it. IMO


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#22 Slidemaster

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:12 AM

67-95

#23 Mike B

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:16 AM

Do you really need me to recap all the things that Law has said over the years that was wrong?

 

Due to that, I ignore anything he writes about. Sorry, I just dont give the time of day, he hasn't earned it. IMO

Using Keith Law and expert in the same sentence like some do is disturbing.  


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#24 Mackus

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:35 AM

Do you really need me to recap all the things that Law has said over the years that was wrong?

 

Due to that, I ignore anything he writes about. Sorry, I just dont give the time of day, he hasn't earned it. IMO

 

Yes.  And being wrong on a prediction or projection is very different than being unfair or unintelligent in an analysis.  I'd agree that he's often critical of the Orioles, but is that criticism unwarranted?  Is he ever unfair?


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#25 Old Man

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:37 AM

Using Keith Law and expert in the same sentence like some do is disturbing.  

Fired by the Blue Jays, and I believe his former boss something along the line of Law going to ESPN, sure didnt take long for him to look like a complete idiot.



#26 Old Man

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:39 AM

Yes.  And being wrong on a prediction or projection is very different than being unfair or unintelligent in an analysis.  I'd agree that he's often critical of the Orioles, but is that criticism unwarranted?  Is he ever unfair?

The year they went to the ALCS, he had them coming up in dead last in his famous pre-season predictions.

 

I believe he regularly makes unintelligent analysis and yes, he has an agenda against the team.



#27 Mike B

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:49 AM

Yes.  And being wrong on a prediction or projection is very different than being unfair or unintelligent in an analysis.  I'd agree that he's often critical of the Orioles, but is that criticism unwarranted?  Is he ever unfair?

JMO, but his criticism borders on unprofessional and super critical of some of the prospects.  


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#28 Nigel Tufnel

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:49 AM

I'm thinking 66 wins, but I'll round up to 70 because I'm still feeling optimistic.


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#29 Mackus

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 11:59 AM

The year they went to the ALCS, he had them coming up in dead last in his famous pre-season predictions.

 

I believe he regularly makes unintelligent analysis and yes, he has an agenda against the team.

 

How many of us predicted that team to be near or under 500?  Or the 2012 team?  Being wrong doesn't make your analysis unfounded.  It's sports.  Nobody knows what's going to happen.  

 

I can't think of very many examples of Law saying something that seemed unsupportable or wildly biased.  Ranking Mountcastle outside his top-100 is one, that's unsupportable, but his actual words on Mountcastle were completely reasonable.


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#30 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 12:10 PM

I often disagree with his takes, but Law is a intelligent, highly accomplished guy, who often makes interesting points. Do find him insufferable though.


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#31 TwentyThirtyFive

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 12:18 PM

Never pass on the opportunity to call out that thin skinned little nerd

#32 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 01:11 PM

Joe Trezza was on a predictions pod and said 51 wins

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#33 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 01:12 PM

This was before the 3 game sweep at Boston

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

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#34 BSLMikeLowe

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 01:27 PM

67-95, just because I think even if you are not trying to win from a personnel standpoint, it's hard to lose 100+ three seasons in a row (last year does not count).



#35 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 01:30 PM

Joe Trezza was on a predictions pod and said 51 wins

 

Really? lol. 



#36 Pedro Cerrano

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 03:04 PM

Really? lol.


Yup. They do interviews with a reporter from each team and ask them for a win projection and he said 51-111

There is baseball, and occasionally there are other things of note

"Now OPS sucks.  Got it."

"Making his own olive brine is peak Mackus."

"I'm too hungover to watch a loss." - McNulty

@bopper33


#37 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 03:06 PM

Yup. They do interviews with a reporter from each team and ask them for a win projection and he said 51-111

 

I'll close down this site if he's right.



#38 Old Man

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 03:09 PM

I'll close down this site if he's right.

OMG HELL NO

 

That would only leave the Hangout to discuss sports LOL :) :) :) :) :) :)


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#39 Mackus

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 03:10 PM

Please don't. 54 and 47 wins the past two full years. I expect better but it's far from a strong lock.

#40 BSLChrisStoner

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Posted 05 April 2021 - 03:14 PM

Please don't. 54 and 47 wins the past two full years. I expect better but it's far from a strong lock.

 

I think it's a bit of crazy pick.  And if I'm wrong and it happens, then I deserve to be embarrassed.  If it happens, and I don't close the site... I'll have to think of something else embarrassing I can do, while also giving credit to Trezza for his clairvoyance. 


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