6 replies to this topic

[GregGoldstein]

BSL: Orioles Prospects Heading Into Make-or-Break 2018 Seasons
http://baltimorespor...k-2018-seasons/

[SportsGuy]

I don’t see how Sedlock, Harvey and Reyes are going into make or break seasons.

Do you think the Os expose them to the rule 5 if they struggle? Release them?

[BSLChrisStoner]

Was taking it more as they perform or you can stop caring about them...but will see what Greg says.

[SportsGuy]

Was taking it more as they perform or you can stop caring about them...but will see what Greg says.

I don’t get that either. I certainly think there are guys you can say that about but I would put a guy like Scott on this list before these guys.

[GregGoldstein]

Hello Rob,

 

What I wanted to do with this article is analyze how prospects are seen in the organization. For a guy like Sedlock, the O's drafted him as a starter, but I believe another season like this last one and the organization would/should shift their view of him from what they thought when they took him in the first round.

 

Reyes was always seen as a high upside power bat, but has failed to develop many aspects of his game such as his defense and ability to hit the breaking ball that if not developed to the levels necessary 2018, would make him a fringe major leaguer at best given that he's been in the organization for so many years, which is really not has been the sentiment from his previous ranking as that developmental teenage bat with upside. 

 

This same sentiment can be said for Harvey and his health, Gassaway and being a legit power prospect and Lee being more than just a 4A guy. All have serious strides to make next season in order to start to fullfill what their projection has been over the past few years and when the team acquired them. That's what I meant to hit on in this article, not just a typical rankings or what their long-term outlook would probably be.

[SportsGuy]

Hello Rob,

 

What I wanted to do with this article is analyze how prospects are seen in the organization. For a guy like Sedlock, the O's drafted him as a starter, but I believe another season like this last one and the organization would/should shift their view of him from what they thought when they took him in the first round.

 

Reyes was always seen as a high upside power bat, but has failed to develop many aspects of his game such as his defense and ability to hit the breaking ball that if not developed to the levels necessary 2018, would make him a fringe major leaguer at best given that he's been in the organization for so many years, which is really not has been the sentiment from his previous ranking as that developmental teenage bat with upside. 

 

This same sentiment can be said for Harvey and his health, Gassaway and being a legit power prospect and Lee being more than just a 4A guy. All have serious strides to make next season in order to start to fullfill what their projection has been over the past few years and when the team acquired them. That's what I meant to hit on in this article, not just a typical rankings or what their long-term outlook would probably be.

 

 

1) Sedlock going to the pen...hard for me to think they would do it that quickly.  It has been obvious for like 5 years that Mike Wright isn't a starter and yet they keep trying that.  The people running this organization aren't the sharpest pencils in the box, so some of these obvious things go past them quite often.

 

2) Reyes is destined to have to move from third...He will be at first or DH.

 

3) Lee and Gassaway are nothing, so I agree there....Harvey has to show he is healthy.  No doubt there.

[Mackus]

Good article. 

 

I'd argue Lee has already had his make-or-break season and he broke.  He's very close to a non-prospect for me, and I wouldn't hesitate to waive him if we need the 40-man space.  Gassaway also is someone who's already fallen off my radar.  22 with a 650 OPS at A+?  Bye.  If he has a big year he can climb back into relevancy.

 

I think Sedlock will remain someone to watch even if he struggles, just because of his draft pedigree.  I agree that he will plummet even further than he already has in how people look at him if he doesn't have a good season.

 

Reyes also has some more leeway, because he is still so young.  Also because a 750+ OPS as a 20 y/o at A+ is not a bad season.  I'd like to see him move up to Bowie rather than repeat Frederick for a third time, but if he hits decently or better as a 21 y/o at Bowie, he will stay firmly on the map.  And even if he struggles, he'll still just be 22 at Bowie in 2019.

 

Also, I'm curious why you used Opening Day age?  Industry usually uses the players age on July 1 as their age for the season.  So next year, Sedlock is 23, Reyes is 21, Gassaway is 23, Lee is 25, and Harvey is 23.